Category: Inflation
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IPCA inflation index slows down in November, according to IBGE
Inflation measured by the National Extended Consumer Price Index (IPCA) slowed to 0.28% in November, from 0.42% in October, the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) reported Friday. In the same month of 2016, the increase had been of 0.18%. Therefore, official accumulated inflation accelerated in 12 months: from 2.70% in October to 2.80%…
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Brazil is out of recession. But should you buy it?
President Michel Temer and economic ministers will celebrate the growth of 1% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the first quarter of this year, compared to Q4 of 2016, excluding seasonal factors. When they do this, they will actually be celebrating the growth of agriculture and foreign demand (exports). Domestic demand – household consumption…
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Brazilian IGPM shows second month of deflation
The General Market Price Index – (IGP-M) recorded deflation of 0.93% in May, after falling 1.10% a month earlier, according to the Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV). It is the lowest rate for May months since the beginning of the indicator series in 1989. It is also the third lowest variation for all months of the…
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Brazilian Economy shrinks 0.51% in May, according to the Central Bank
The Brazilian economy has not confirmed the brief improvement in April. The Economic Activity Index Central Bank (IBC-Br) fell 0.51% in May, after growing 0.07% in April (revised), which was the first increase in 15 months. In the year, the decline was a significant 5.79%. In the 12 months ending in May, the IBC-Br indicates…
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EWZ: Ibovespa has its best semester since 2009 and US$ drops 18.6% versus the Brazilian Real
Brazilian’s most traded stock ETF in the US, EWZ soared 46.5% in the same 6 months: In the beginning of the year, the perspective for the Brazilian market was not good with the country in recession and inflation sky rocketing. However, in the middle of February, the inflection started fueled by a global recover in…
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What to Expect for Brazilian Interest Rate in 2016
Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM) has decided to keep the Brazilian interest rate benchmark in Brazil (SELIC) at 14.25% a year, unanimously. The central bank repeated the note issued with the previous decision, in which it says “we see advances in the inflation fighting but the still elevated cost of living and expectations are out of the target”.…
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El-Erian says Brazil in ‘delicate situation’
Mohamed El-Erian’s bet on Brazil before President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s election in 2002 was rewarded by a surge in the nation’s assets in the following years. More than a decade later, he says Latin America’s largest economy must seize the opportunity to undertake deep reforms.Brazil is facing the worst recession in a century…